Super Bowl bettors can find great value behind QBs in MVP prop odds
QBs and other MVP contenders
Super Bowl MVP is one of the most popular prop betting markets for the Big Game. The MVP honor has been dominated by quarterbacks in recent years, with seven of the last nine Super Bowl MVP awards going to the winning QB.
It’s no surprise to see both the Patriots and Rams quarterbacks at the top of the MVP prop odds, and that opens up a ton of bitcoin gambling value on those talents behind them. There’s a massive gap in pricing between the QBs and other MVP contenders, so we’re looking at those passers as well as top talents worth a MVP flyer.
Tom Brady, QB New England +110
He’s won this thing four times, including Super Bowl LI when it probably should have gone to James White. Brady is the logical pick for anyone backing New England to win and cover the Super Bowl point spread. Honestly, a play on Brady at +110 looks much better than a moneyline wager on the Pats at -140. There’s more risk – if Brady doesn’t win MVP – but as we’ve seen, it would take a lot for him not to.
Jared Goff, QB Los Angeles +250
Goff has played very well in spots during the playoffs. His QB rating hasn’t been stellar but he’s made key plays at key times, and that’s what matters in the Super Bowl. Goff has a surplus of weapons around him but if you are in love with L.A. to win this game, it might be best looking elsewhere on the MVP list, as Goff will likely need help to get the job done.
Todd Gurley, RB Los Angeles +900
Is Gurley good to go? That’s been the question since watching his reps take a nose dive in the Divisional and Championship Rounds. Gurley has lost touches to C.J. Anderson but that could be stemming from a late-season knee injury and the fact he had two bad drops to open the NFC title game, putting Gurley in Sean McVay’s dog house. But at +900, the price is right for a guy who is the most talented offensive weapon on the field.
Sony Michel, RB New England +1,300
Michel has done serious damage in the postseason, with five total touchdowns in the Patriots two playoff games. He’s totaled 242 yards in those games, but also faced two suspect rushing defenses and was playing with big halftime leads, which lead to more carries. Los Angeles has done a remarkable job shutting down the rushing attack in its opening postseason matchups, leaving little clean air for Michel.
Aaron Donald DL Los Angeles +1,800
When MVP props hit the board at some sportsbooks, Donald was as high as +3,000 to win Super Bowl’s top individual honor. Action has been hot and heavy on the NFL’s top defensive player, nearly slimming that price in half. Donald’s interior pass rush is absolutely key to containing Brady and the only other two non-QB players to win MVP in the past nine years where defensive standouts: Von Miller and Malcolm Smith.